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Poker things Poker is in my heart, and my heart is in poker. Yes I'm a freak. Phear my check raise in the dark.
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Poker
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In this post, I'm using hands from a 90 man turbo MTT on Full Tilt Poker. These 90 mans have double starting stack and knockout bonusses, which add some different dymanics to the hands.
Especially the double starting stacks (3000) makes a HUGE difference how you should optimally play these in the early levels. They are turbos though, so eventually you'll find yourself with a regular 10 to 30 big blind stack most of the time. Having the bigger starting stack basically increases the value of hands like small pairs and suited connectors, because of the implied odds of these hands. Especially at the $3 level, people will stack of very, VERY light, so if you flop big with your hand .... you're often going to get paid off.
Here are 2 example hands taken from a Sunday session. It seems on Sunday people are willing to stack off even lighter than usual :
http://www.gutshot.com/replayer.php?id=2455 This is the very first hand of the tournament, I'm not involved in the hand, but it illustrates several important points : People tend to limp a lot, or make pointless min-raises. On the other end of the spectrum, people will shove all in for 100 big blinds pre flop for no apparant reason. And finally, a lot of players will call you down very light if you make these kinds of shoves. The shoving player shows AQ here, but often they will show up with even weaker hands like AT or 66. You can easily call these weird shoves with 99+ and AQ+ and find yourself ahead enough of the time to make it profitable.
http://www.gutshot.com/replayer.php?id=2456 I'm showing this hand because I make a play here that is 100% tweaked to the level of play here. I limp with hands like 99 and TT when I'm in early position like this and if it gets raised and gets back to me I evaluate whether I want to see the flop before I get it in. I'm really looking to get it all in, even 100 big blinds deep this early in the tournament. If it would have gone, raise - reraise, then I just muck the 99 because a reraise like that is either AK or a big pair, which means im far behind. But my thought process during this hand was as follows : I limp in and see what happens behind me.. Some players limp behind and suddenly a huge raise from Perroud ... The raise size here tells me it is NOT likely to be a big pair like AA, KK or QQ but much more likely to be a middle pair type of hand where he is just trying to take it down right here. Now when the other player flat calls the bet, he is also most likely holding a pair, but definitely not a pair higher than mine as he would reraise 100% of the time (he is the player that got all in on the first hand with AQ). This is the most important point in the hand, if I can put this player on a smaller pair my equity in the hand increases greatly ! I'm pretty confident he would reraise any bigger pair and also AQ and AK he would probably reraise. So my hand is up against what is likely 1 smaller pair (The player on the big blind) and either another pair or maybe 2 overcards. If I shove here, its possible that one of them will fold (not often though) putting some extra money into the pot. This means if I get into a coinflip, it will still be a good flip because of the extra money. If they both call, the equity my hand has against their 2 hands is high enough to make it profitable. To show this, I will put the possible ranges in pokerstove and show you my equity here :
equity win tie
Hand 0: 47.123% 45.65% 01.48% { 99 } Hand 1: 16.631% 15.87% 00.76% { 99-22 } Hand 2: 36.247% 35.34% 00.91% { JJ-55, AKs, AKo }
I have 47% equity in the pot and I'm putting in less than 33% of the chips. And in this pokerstove example I have actually given them some better hands than what I was really expecting them to show up with. My actual equity is probably somewhere between 40% and 65% (!!).
So these hands should give you a good idea of the level of play at the $3 level. It's my first strategy post like this, they will probably get better and more easily readable as I do more of these. Coming next, tonight, live reporting from the WBCOOP !!
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Last Updated ( Monday, 25 January 2010 )
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Poker
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Decided that from now on, I won't post so much about my bankroll progress anymore. It has gotten to the point where I'm 100% sure I'm a winning player at my level and probably at a little higher level too. My bankroll was pretty big, but I cashed out a lot and decided to start with a $650 again and work from there.
From now on, I will post more about specific tournaments I will be playing in, like the upcoming WBCOOP (World Bloggers Championship Of Online Poker) on Pokerstars. I will describe some key hands I was in and maybe post some complete tournament histories if they are interesting enough.
I hope that this way I will be able to get some readers that will come back here once in a while and read my posts. I'm not gods gift to poker, but I think I can teach some people some things about low buyin MTT strategy.
So if you are interrested in this kind of thing ... stay tuned !
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 21 January 2010 )
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Poker
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I've had a lot of spare time in the month of December and have spent most of it playing online poker. I can honeslty say, all my hard work of the last few years is finally paying off. Probably other people reach this point a lot quicker, but I assume these are people without a full time job and a 10 year marriage taking up spare time ;) I have finally moved up form playing only $2-$4 tournaments, now playing up to $20 (but mostly still $4, $5 and some $10's).  I'm not rich yet, I didn't win the Sunday Million or anything, but I have won a few thousand dollars in about 2 weeks time. I think I have the perfect strategy for low buyin tournaments right now and my ROI is just through the roof at the moment. I read somewhere that a good ROI is between 5% and 15% with most players being happy with just 5%. My current ROI is 55% on Full Tilt and 73% on Pokerstars. This is over a total of 1500 tournaments, so it's probably not a fluke .. I'm just THAT good :) Of course I probably ran well in important spots, but I have also had my fair share of beats. My strategy in multi table tournaments is such however, that I can usually survive a beat or two along the way. I find so many profitable spots where I win pots without a showdown that I build up my stack enough to take a few beats from shorter stacks. For example, I was playing a $2+rebuys tournament on Friday and during my run to the final table I had my aces cracked by a river suckout for half my stack. Stayed calm and built it back up to chip leader, only to have the same thing happen again at the final table ! I get it in with AA on a Q53 flop, he shows KQ and the river is another Q of course ... Half my stack again. At no point did I tilt or give up though, I just played my best game and still managed to get 3rd place (Last hand I got it all in with QQ against AK and lost to the A on the flop ... quite an expensive coin flip !). I will probably do some strategy posts soon where I discuss several of my important hands in big tournaments. AceHighness
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Last Updated ( Monday, 04 January 2010 )
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